What this board is
Section not written yetNick’s copy goes here. The interactive pieces below it are live and read from the model file.
The formula
Section not written yetNick’s copy goes here. The formulas and components below are printed straight out of the model file.
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What counts as a hit
Section not written yetNick’s copy goes here.
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Free-agent replacement cost
Section not written yetNick’s copy goes here.
Where the tier curve comes from
Section not written yetNick’s copy goes here.
What the model cannot see
Section not written yetNick’s copy goes here. The two lists below are the machine-readable version: every gap and every internal contradiction the model file records about its own sources.
The model file
The board
Every position × tier bucket the model publishes. Sort any column; on a phone each row becomes a card.
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Players on record
Every named player the two source posts print a number for. Blank cells are values the posts never published — they are not estimates.
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Break-even calculator
Pick a subject and a value profile, then push the two assumption sliders. The answer is the first overall pick at which the subject’s outcome clears the baseline you chose. Everything is computed from the model file at the version shown at the top of the page.
How this is computed
By position
One card per position: the snap baseline the hit threshold is built from, the free-agent hurdle, the full tier curve, and whatever context the source posts published for that position. Anything they did not publish says so.
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